Thursday, October 30, 2008

2009 California Housing Forecast--Local Data is Key

I have been getting a lot of questions asking me for my 2009 predictions on the market so I thought I would share this great video post from the California Association of Realtor's Chief Economist, Leslie Appleton Young. Listen to the CHIEF! This gives you a detailed picture of what has been going on for the last 3-5 years and how the downturn started WAY before we were all talking about it. In a nutshell, the predictions state that most areas in California will post a decline in home prices for 2009, as the number of sales (actual # of transactions closed) will continue to increase as they have been in the past couple of months. Also, more important than ever is breaking down the data locally since many zip codes can vary greatly. Good news for those of you buyers who have been waiting on the sidelines, it's time to pull the trigger.

To watch the full video go to www.car.org and the video should be there for you to see on the front page. The slides are a bit blurry so let me know if you would like a full copy of the slides.

If you're ready to jump in, look out for the Bank Owned list that I will be sending out for November!

Sunday, October 26, 2008

The Deal on Jumbo Loan Limits


This is hot off the presses from one of my loan partners Valerie at Prospect Mortgage:

Please note the very important changes below for loan amounts between $417,000 and $729,750. Make sure you are aware of these upcoming changes as interest rates and loan qualifications will be greatly affected. It is anticipated (but not guaranteed) that the new agency jumbo loan limits will now go up to $625,000 instead of $729,750. Any loan amount over $625,000 would receive standard Jumbo pricing which is much higher than the current Agency Jumbo Rates.

Give me a call if you need to speak to my great lender partner about how this may affect you. 408-396-0770

RENEGOTIATING YOUR LOAN

In the midst of the economic meltdown, many homeowners are finding themselves in mortgage mayhem as adjustable rate mortgages start to adjust and payments dramatically increase. If you find yourself worrying about how you are going to make your next mortgage payment while keeping the lights on, you may want to give your lending institution a call to permanently lower your monthly payment. Here’s how:

1. Call the Bank: This is the bank that you pay your mortgage to every month. Grab your monthly mortgage statement and you should be able to find the contact information on the upper left or right hand corner of the statement. Ask for the “Loss Mitigation” department. If you get routed to customer service first, escalate to the supervisors and be persistent about speaking to a representative in Loss Mitigation to restructure/renegotiate your loan.

2. Paint the Picture: Once you get to Loss Mitigation, explain to the representative why you are having a hard time paying your loan (you can also be proactive and do this prior to your loan adjusting). Be ready to provide solid financial documentation as they are not going to take your word for it. Once they receive all of your information they will run your Debt to Income Ratio just like they did when you were qualifying for your loan and determine whether you will be a candidate for renegotiation

3. Provide Paperwork: If your lender decides to let you renegotiate your loan, do WHATEVER they say and send in everything they ask for within the require time periods otherwise, you may blow the deal completely!

Once you provide everything they need, you should receive paperwork with new loan terms spelled out. CAREFULLY READ over the new terms carefully to ensure it’s what was agreed to over the phone.

See my post on http://factoidz.com/?p=467

Thursday, October 9, 2008

Santa Clara County Bank Owned Condos as of 10/1

If you would like more information on single family homes or multi-residential Bank Owned Inventory, please contact me.

List Price/Street Address/City/Bldg SqFt
584900/1924 MERIDIAN AV/San Jose/1949
569900/3079 DUNHAM WY/San Jose/1712
544900/2679 VILLA CORTONA WY/San Jose/1888
494900/814 FASCINATION PL/Milpitas/1369
470000/5104 WESTMONT AV #17/San Jose/1105
469900/344 MONTECITO WY/Milpitas/1165
435000/380 IMAGINATION PL/Milpitas/1012
419900/2502 YERBA HILLS CT/San Jose/1216
415000/3323 BENTON ST/Santa Clara/1476
399000/870 FREMONT ST #105/Santa Clara/1408
389900/2869 S BASCOM AV #501/Campbell/841
359900/5033 GREY FEATHER CI/San Jose/1137
354900/1796 BATTERSEA CT/San Jose/1176
339900/279 TRADEWINDS DR #7/San Jose/1252
337400/1515 ALMA TE/San Jose/1071
329900/5535 DON OCTAVIO CT/San Jose/1439
327900/1920 MESSINA DR/San Jose/968
320000/3588 PAYNE AV #14/San Jose/1032
314900/946 KIELY BL #E/Santa Clara/956
314900/4685 ALBANY CI #121/San Jose/813
314900/4908 CALLE DE ESCUELA/Santa Clara/1080
309900/3314 INNERWICK LN/San Jose/1131
299900/7064 MOUNT VERNON WY/Gilroy/1645
299900/5082 SUTTER CREEK CI/San Jose/816
299900/2158 GALVESTON AV #0000D/San Jose/1125
299900/425 CARPENTIER WY/San Jose/1442
299000/96 POAS CI/San Jose/1180
290000/201 SUNWOOD MEADOWS PL/San Jose/920
284900/185 SILCREEK DR/San Jose/1318
279900/144 SURREY CT/Milpitas/980
269900/3179 KENLAND DR/San Jose/1012
269000/77 SILCREEK DR/San Jose/1318
267000/297 GRECIA CT/San Jose/1474
259900/3598 PAYNE AV #00009/San Jose/1080
255000/2937 ROSE AV/San Jose/1235
250999/2945 ROSE AV/San Jose/1235
249900/355 RIO VERDE PL #00001/Milpitas/1050
249900/5160 CRIBARI KL/San Jose/1240
246900/18216 HALE AV #A/Morgan Hill/1145
239900/171 RANCHO MANOR CT/San Jose/1034
236635/4012 SHANJ CT/San Jose/1042
235047/3154 KENLAND DR/San Jose/1012
230900/3569 GUM TREE DR/San Jose/1249
230199/687 BALFOUR DR/San Jose/1075
229900/3165 KENLAND DR/San Jose/1094
229900/327 KENBROOK CI/San Jose/1094
224900/274 OROSI WY/San Jose/1180
224900/354 KENBROOK CI/San Jose/1094
224900/5468 SPINNAKER WALKWAY #1/San Jose/810
219900/1395 MCQUESTEN DR #0000D/San Jose/876
219900/18214 HALE AV #B/Morgan Hill/1145
219900/5581 SPINNAKER DR #3/San Jose/903
214997/3127 KENLAND DR/San Jose/1012
214900/824 BLOSSOM HILL RD #4/San Jose/798
210000/5725 CALMOR AV #1/San Jose/810
209900/36 MUIRFIELD CT/San Jose/1054
209900/510 CINNAMON DR/San Jose/1017
204900/5497 SPINNAKER WALKWAY #2/San Jose/903
200000/2474 GOLZIO CT #1/San Jose/810
199900/259 N CAPITOL AV #00106/San Jose/828
199900/797 DELAWARE AV #1/San Jose/810
197900/259 N CAPITOL AV #201/San Jose/828
197000/210 STONEGATE CI/San Jose/704
196900/3120 SHADOW SPRINGS PL/San Jose/866
194900/310 TRADEWINDS DR #3/San Jose/959
189900/259 N CAPITOL AV #B147/San Jose/955
189900/360 KENBROOK CI #139/San Jose/1012
189000/32 CASTLECREST DR/San Jose/704
185500/918 BELLHURST AV/San Jose/986
185405/2066 OJO DE AGUA CT/San Jose/1000
183000/1043 BELLHURST AV/San Jose/986
179500/7757 GHIRLANDA CT/Gilroy/908
179000/1411 MCQUESTEN DR #C/San Jose/1150
174900/5336 MONTEREY HW #1/San Jose/950
174900/7785 GHIRLANDA CT/Gilroy/908
174900/162 MONTE VERANO CT/San Jose/597
172500/906 BELLHURST AV/San Jose/986
170200/555 7 TREES VILLAGE WY/San Jose/801
169900/477 CARPENTIER WY/San Jose/941
169900/5598 JUDITH ST #4/San Jose/798
158900/3640 ADLER CT/San Jose/1017
155500/7755 GHIRLANDA CT/Gilroy/908
154900/131 PUERTO GOLFITO CT/San Jose/1000
149900/3205 KENHILL DR/San Jose/724
149900/7758 CHESTNUT ST/Gilroy/908
139500/7709 MURRAY AV/Gilroy/908
109100/81 CASTLEBRIDGE DR/San Jose/1456

Wednesday, October 1, 2008

Santa Clara County Market Stats as of 9/27/08

Here are the numbers for the week ending 9/27/08.

INVENTORY CHANGE

FOR THE THIRD QUARTER OF 2008

Single Family Homes:

Date

Active

Active Percent Change from Previous Week

Pending

Pending Percent Change from Previous Week

6/28/08

5226


1728


7/5/08

5128

Down 1.9%

1709

Down 1.1%

7/12/08

5189

Up 1.2%

1728

Up 1.1 %

7/19/08

5210

Up 0.4%

1756

Up 1.6%

7/26/08

5251

Up 0.8%

1777

Up 1.2%

8/2/08

5136

Down 2.2%

1807

Up 1.7%

8/9/08

5115

Down 0.4%

1895

Up 4.9%

8/16/08

5071

Down 0.9%

1921

Up 1.4%

8/23/08

5043

Down 0.6%

1907

Down 0.7%

8/30/08

4991

Down 1.0%

1864

Down 2.3%

9/6/08

4899

Down 1.8%

1894

Up 1.6%

9/13/08

4817

Down 1.7%

1927

Up 1.7%

9/20/08

4797

Down 0.4%

1941

Up 0.7%

9/27/08

4804

Up 0.1%

1893

Down 2.5%

Overall Change from 6/28/08 to 9/27/08:


Active:

Down 8.1%

Pending:

Up 9.5%

________________________________________________________________________

Condo/Townhome Properties:

Date

Active

Active Percent Change from Previous Week

Pending

Pending Percent Change from Previous Week

6/28/08

1671


495


7/5/08

1604

Down 4.0%

506

Up 2.2%

7/12/08

1618

Up 0.9%

523

Up 3.6%

7/19/08

1645

Up 1.7%

534

Up 2.1%

7/26/08

1624

Down 1.3%

545

Up 2.1%

8/2/08

1617

Down 0.4%

542

Down 0.6%

8/9/08

1621

Up 0.2%

545

Up 0.6%

8/16/08

1627

Up 0.4%

535

Down 1.8%

8/23/08

1617

Down 0.6%

558

Up 4.3%

8/30/08

1594

Down 1.4%

555

Down 0.5%

9/6/08

1568

Down 1.6%

569

Up 2.5%

9/13/08

1531

Down 2.4%

584

Up 2.6%

9/20/08

1534

Up 0.2%

585

Up 0.2%

9/27/08

1526

Down 0.5%

587

Up 0.3%

Overall Change from 6/28/08 to 9/27/08

Active:

Down 8.7%

Pending:

Up 18.6%